Guide to Terms

Below is a description of each of the columns Super Standing contains:

  • PWR (Power Rating) - This is a measure of how well a team is currently playing. The difference between the power rating of any two teams is APPROXIMATELY the point spread (2.2 home field advantage).
  • W (Actual Wins) - The actual number of wins to date.
  • L (Actual Loses) - The actual number of losses to date.
  • SBW (Super Bowl Winner) - The probability of winning the Super Bowl.
  • CC (Conference Champion) - The probability of being the conference champ and then playing in the Super Bowl. For each season that is simulated, the playoff seeding is used to simulate a playoff to determine the conference champ. This shows the benefits of the playoff seeding which is the first round bye and home field.
  • PS1, ..., PS4 (Playoff seed) - These are the probabilities of being the 1st thru 6th playoff seed and having a home field advantage. Playoff seeds 1-4 are the division winners. Playoff seed WC1 and WC2 are the wild card teams.
  • PS1, ..., PS4 (Playoff seed) - These are the probabilities of being the 1st thru 6th playoff seed and having a home field advantage. Playoff seeds 1-4 are the division winners. Playoff seed WC1 and WC2 are the wild card teams.
  • Div1...Div4 - (Division Place) - These are the probabilities of finishing 1st through 4th in the division.

Each team name is a link to a page that lists the weekly summary so you can see how the team is progressing. From that team page, clicking on the week numbers will display the conference summary for that week.

 

How do I use the information in Super Standings?

With Super Standings you know who the best teams are and what divisional races will be close. You will see how losing to a divisional or conference opponent really changes the divisional race and chances to get the home field advantage in the playoffs.

Super Standings assigns a 0-100% value to every team and place in their division. Each of these values will either go to 0% or 100% for each team as the season progresses.

With our accurate power rating, you can see what teams are really improving and what teams are on the decline.

 

FAQ

Q: Some teams with a W-L record just over .500 have a higher power rating that teams that have won all of their games, or just have one loss. How can this be?

A: The best team doesn't always win every game. Assume that every team was perfectly equal and the games were played at a neutral site. Then every game would be a "toss-up".

Try this experiment. Get a copy of the NFL schedule and flip a coin to determine who won the game between the perfectly matched teams. When you are don you will probably see that a couple of teams won 12 games and a couple of teams only won 4 of the 16 games. Super Standings recognizes this when calculating the ratings. You will see that our ratings are usually within a point of the betting lines.

Q: Can these power ratings be used for betting on games?

A: NO. These are based on how teams will perform ON AVERAGE. Actual point spreads used for betting are very specific to the teams playing. How the players match up, injuries, grass or turf, etc.

Q: Why is the MLW (Most Likely Wins) have a decimal?

A: We run thousands of simulated seasons and MLW is the average of the wins for these simulated seasons. Of course no teams is going to win 10.7 games. An MLW of 10.7 means that they are more likely to win 11 or more games than 10 or less.

 

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